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MLB Playoffs: The Picks
MLB Playoffs: Cardinals at Padres
Brewers at Dodgers
Cardinals at Padres, 7:08 p.m | TV: ESPN
The Pick: Cardinals (+146) — Why mess with a good thing? On Wednesday, I told you to take the Cardinals because we were getting a great price, and we still are! The Padres were a great team during the regular season and have young, exciting players, but they’re also without two of their top starters in this series. Tonight they’re starting Zach Davies, who the Cardinals are familiar with from his time in Milwaukee. And the Cardinals have liked what they’ve seen. They have an impressive wOBA of .370 against him and are slugging .496. St. Louis might end this tonight.
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Key Trend: St. Louis is 10-2 in its last 12 games against a right-handed starter.
MLB Playoffs: Love the Cardinals
Brewers at Dodgers, 10:08 p.m | TV: ESPN
The Pick: Under 7.5 (-120) — We’re going back to the well here too. I liked the under in this matchup on Wednesday, and it’s just as attractive here tonight. Brandon Woodruff isn’t well-known, but he’s been a reliable starter for the Brewers and misses a lot of bats. Current Dodgers hitters have struck out in 35.7% of their plate appearances against him. Then there’s Clayton Kershaw taking the mound for the Dodgers, and he’s Clayton Kershaw. Sure, he’s had struggles in the postseason during his career, but a part of me wonders if playing these games in an empty stadium might benefit his nerves. Either way, I don’t see many runs being scored in this one, particularly with a light breeze blowing in from center through most of the night.
Key Trend: The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.